Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 90.3%
Prognostiker
28
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet6. Juli 24, 12:23 UTC4. Juli 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
UK General Election 2024 - Will Rishi Sunak stay on as an MP after the election?
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held?
Manifold MarketsNext UK by-election called by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?
KalshiUkraine election called by which date?
PolymarketSpain snap election called in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
If he has resigned, been kicked out or lost his seat in a by-election this will resolve as no.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 90% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called? entschieden?
- Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called? soll am 4. Juli 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If he has resigned, been kicked out or lost his seat in a by-election this will resolve as no.