Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Yes - Rishi Sunak will stay on as an MP until the next general election 90.2%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
55
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet26. Mai 24, 12:05 UTC28. Apr. 28, 22:59 UTC
Trends
0.2%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called?
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KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRegeln
The UK will have a general election on 4th July.
- The Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is also the MP for Richmond (Yorkshire).
- He is expected to win his seat but lose his majority.
- At this point, it is expected that he will resign or be removed as the leader of the Conservative Party with the new leader of the party taking over as the Leader of the Opposition (assuming they’re even the second biggest party - see @/SimonGrayson/uk-general-election-which-party-wil-35d0bc6a20f9 )
- Will Rishi Sunak stay on as an MP once he steps down? He recently promised in an interview on Loose Women that he would, but this was the same interview where he said that there would not be a summer election!
- If Sunak is returned to Parliament and serves out his full term as an MP (whether or not he is still PM or LOTO, and even if there is a very early election), this market will resolve to the YES option.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für UK General Election 2024 - Will Rishi Sunak stay on as an MP after the election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes - Rishi Sunak will stay on as an MP until the next general election mit 90% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird UK General Election 2024 - Will Rishi Sunak stay on as an MP after the election? entschieden?
- UK General Election 2024 - Will Rishi Sunak stay on as an MP after the election? soll am 28. April 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird UK General Election 2024 - Will Rishi Sunak stay on as an MP after the election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The UK will have a general election on 4th July.