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Daten vom 26.10.2026, 01:58 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Yes - Rishi Sunak will stay on as an MP until the next general election 88.9%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Yes - Rishi Sunak will stay on as an MP until the next general election 88.9%Prognostiker
55
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet26. Mai 24, 12:05 UTC28. Apr. 28, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next UK General Election take place?
Manifold MarketsWill a "lifetime smoking ban" become law in the UK before the next General Election after July 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill Ed Balls stand for election as an MP before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiRegeln
The UK will have a general election on 4th July.
- The Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is also the MP for Richmond (Yorkshire).
- He is expected to win his seat but lose his majority.
- At this point, it is expected that he will resign or be removed as the leader of the Conservative Party with the new leader of the party taking over as the Leader of the Opposition (assuming they’re even the second biggest party - see @/SimonGrayson/uk-general-election-which-party-wil-35d0bc6a20f9 )
- Will Rishi Sunak stay on as an MP once he steps down? He recently promised in an interview on Loose Women that he would, but this was the same interview where he said that there would not be a summer election!
- If Sunak is returned to Parliament and serves out his full term as an MP (whether or not he is still PM or LOTO, and even if there is a very early election), this market will resolve to the YES option.
