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Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet1. Okt. 26, 08:09 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will an Open Weights Model be #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index in 2026
Manifold Marketstop model on artificial analysis is a anthropic model by the end of the month?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?
KalshiWhere will Gemini 4 Pro score on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index vs the leading model prior to its inclusion?
Manifold MarketsWill xAI be #1 on Artificial Analysis Index by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if as of 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2026 the highest Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score among models in AA's "Small (4B–40B)" open-weights category belongs to a Qwen model.
- Resolves YES if a Qwen model is tied for the highest score.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Source: https://artificialanalysis.ai/models/open-source/small, using the Intelligence Index version current at resolution time.
- - Small model: any model AA itself places in its Small category.
- - Qwen model: a model released by Alibaba / the Qwen team whose name contains "Qwen" in its name (e.g., Qwen3.8 27B, Qwen4 32B).
