Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 91.1%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet14. März 26, 21:10 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What is the next country to leave European Union:?
Manifold MarketsWill Hungary leave the European Union by the end of 2030?
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PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Poland officially completes its withdrawal from the European Union (per Article 50 of the TEU) before January 1, 2030.
- Resolution requires either a ratified withdrawal agreement or the expiration of the two-year notification period.
- The market resolves to NO if Poland remains a member state through December 31, 2029.
- Market Background: The 2026 Crisis
- While the 2023 elections brought a pro-EU coalition to power under Donald Tusk, the political landscape shifted dramatically following the June 2025 Presidential Election.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Poland leave European Union before 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Poland leave European Union before 2030? entschieden?
- Will Poland leave European Union before 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Poland leave European Union before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria