Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNot before 31 December 2030 79.8%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet21. Dez. 25, 05:14 UTC21. Dez. 30, 05:12 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever go to prison/jail? 🇮🇱👩⚖️🏛️
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth departure announced?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on whether Pete Hegseth is convicted and imprisoned for any crime by December 31, 2030.
- The specific year of imprisonment determines which answer resolves yes.
- If Hegseth is imprisoned in multiple years, the market resolves to the earliest year.
- The market resolves to "the named outcome" if no imprisonment occurs by that date.
- Resolution will be determined by official court records and credible news reporting of a conviction and subsequent incarceration.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Pete Hegseth go to prison??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Not before 31 December 2030 mit 80% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Pete Hegseth go to prison? entschieden?
- Will Pete Hegseth go to prison? soll am 21. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Pete Hegseth go to prison? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria