KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 1, 2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 1, 2027 29.5%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Before Jan 1, 2027 29.5%Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1014,5 €
Open Interest
49.755,2 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2027Spread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
28. Aug. 26, 17:00 UTC1. Dez. 26, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Before Sep 1, 2026Verloren
Before Oct 1, 2026Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 1, 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth impeached by which date?
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth leave office in 2026?
PredictItRegeln
If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Pete HegsethThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersU.S. Department of WarDepartment of DefenseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.