KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Nov 1, 2026 69%+52.0ptFührend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
51 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
509,9 €
Liquidität
29.578 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
7.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
28. Aug. 26, 17:00 UTC1. Nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Hegseth leave office in 2026?
PredictItRegeln
If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Pete HegsethThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersDepartment of DefenseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Pete Hegseth departure announced??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Nov 1, 2026 mit 69% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Pete Hegseth departure announced? entschieden?
- Pete Hegseth departure announced? soll am 1. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Pete Hegseth departure announced? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.