Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDec 31st 2028 or earlier? 33%Führend unter 7 Optionen
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30
Fragetyp
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet4. Nov. 25, 14:39 UTC1. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Temu go out of business in the EU before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI go public in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX acquire any major U.S. telecom business before 2028?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
On a recent episode of the Bg2 Pod, Sam Altman (CEO of OpenAI) was aaked about how OpenAI can have a reported $13ish billion usd in revenue and yet have over $1 trillion in spending commitments over the next years.
- Sam had a lot to say, but as part of his response said, "There are not many times I want to be a public company, but one of the rare times that it's appealing is when those people are writing these ridiculous, 'OpenAI is about to go out of business,'....I would love to tell them they could just short the stock, and I would love to see them get burned on that."
- article about this here: https://www.businessinsider.com/sam-altman-defends-openai-trillion-spending-2025-11
- Youtube video of podcast here: https://youtu.be/Gnl833wXRz0?si=hYqgzVM7qjlzjS-n (see ~12:00 mark for the question)
- This is a modest attempt to operationalize that, and I highly encourage any OpenAI bulls and bears to buy YES and NO respectively in this market.
- Each question will resolve YES if the below happens on or before the question's indicated date, and if either of the following occurs: