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Will Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI go public in 2026?
Manifold Markets1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.
Manifold MarketsCompanies to go public in 2026
FutuurWill any existing generative AI unicorn go public by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Discord go public by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegeln
OpenAI is a leading AI developer (GPT family of models) organized as OpenAI, L.L.C. and related entities.
- It has raised large private funding and engaged in discussions about public-market options. “Going public” can occur via routes other than a traditional underwritten registered IPO — for example, a direct listing, SPAC merger (de‑SPAC), or a merger/acquisition that results in OpenAI equity (or equity of the legal entity representing OpenAI’s primary AI business) becoming listed and tradable on public exchanges.
- Question (short description)
- Will OpenAI become a publicly listed company through a non‑IPO route (direct listing, SPAC/de‑SPAC merger, or merger/going‑public via a public company acquisition) by 11:59:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026?
- Target: OpenAI, Inc., OpenAI, L.L.C., or any legal entity whose equity represents OpenAI’s primary AI business/operating entity.
- Included non‑IPO routes: direct listing, SPAC merger (including reverse merger into a blank‑check company and completion of de‑SPAC), or merger/acquisition that results in OpenAI equity being listed and publicly tradable.
