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Veraltet21. Apr. 26, 14:05 UTC20. Okt. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Illumina (ILMN) go bankrupt before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI go bankrupt following a major AI market crash before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Twitter (X) go bankrupt before 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many companies will go bankrupt this year?
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Seb Mallaby says "there's a 50% chance that OpenAI goes bankrupt in the next 18mos":
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 132.799,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.316,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 322.392,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027? entschieden?
- Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027? soll am 20. Oktober 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Seb Mallaby says "there's a 50% chance that OpenAI goes bankrupt in the next 18mos":