Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 94.9%
Prognostiker
28
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet31. Juli 26, 00:53 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Nigel Farage wins the Clacton by-election, will he be recalled anyway?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketWill a party Nigel Farage is a member of win the next UK General Election?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of Serbia?
PolymarketRegeln
Nigel Farage was under investigation by the UK Parliament's Standards Commissioner before resigning as an MP to stand in the Clacton byelection on 13th August 2026.
- Should he be re-elected, the investigation will resume.
- Depending on the outcome of the investigation he may then face a second byelection.
- Resolves YES if Nigel Farage is a candidate in a second Clacton byelection between 13th August and 31st December 2026.
- Resolves NO if there is no second byelection, or if one does take place but Farage is not officially listed as a candidate.
