Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 24.10.2026, 09:27 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 58.6%
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet7. Juli 26, 14:17 UTC7. Juli 27, 14:05 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage becomes UK Prime Minister before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage be alive for the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketWill a party Nigel Farage is a member of win the next UK General Election?
Manifold MarketsAnother Clacton by-election called in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Nigel Farage wins the upcoming Clacton by-election and a successful recall petition forces him to vacate the seat again before the next general election for the House of Commons.
- This market will resolve NO if Nigel Farage wins the upcoming Clacton by-election and he is not recalled before the next general election for the House of Commons.
- This market will be voided if Nigel Farage does not win the Clacton by-election.
- Clarifications
- The close date may be changed as necessary.
