Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 88.7%
Prognostiker
42
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
11. Apr. 26, 23:35 UTC31. Dez. 27, 14:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a non-Anthropic company make a Mythos-class model generally available worldwide in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any frontier-class model training run be announced with >$1B total compute cost before 2026-12-31?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI release a model called GPT-5o in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill DeepSeek's next reasoning model be called R3?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Primary source: https://www.businessinsider.com/anthropic-mythos-latest-ai-model-too-powerful-to-be-released-2026-4?utm_source=chatgpt.com
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if:
- Anthropic releases a model explicitly named "Claude Mythos" (or simply "Mythos") to the public.
- Version numbers do not matter.
- (So "Claude Mythos 5.0" will still count)