Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 58.9%
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet19. Feb. 26, 22:45 UTC31. März 27, 04:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will McArthur River 2027 production (100% basis) exceed 18.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
Manifold MarketsWill McArthur River 2030 production (100% basis) exceed 24.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
Manifold MarketsWill McArthur River 2029 production (100% basis) exceed 22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market estimates McArthur River's 2026 production (100% basis).
- The market settles on March 31, 2027 (3 months after year-end to allow for quarterly reporting).
- At settlement, an LLM will be asked to estimate McArthur River's production (100% basis) for 2026 using the trailing 15-month window excluding the last 3 months.
- Measurement window: January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026
- YES if: 2026 production (100% basis) ≥16.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)
- NO if: 2026 production (100% basis) <16.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 224.720,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 160.486,9 €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 344.925,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will McArthur River 2026 production (100% basis) exceed 16.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 59% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will McArthur River 2026 production (100% basis) exceed 16.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)? entschieden?
- Will McArthur River 2026 production (100% basis) exceed 16.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)? soll am 31. März 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will McArthur River 2026 production (100% basis) exceed 16.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market estimates McArthur River's 2026 production (100% basis).