Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 58.2%
Ja 58.2%Prognostiker
67
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Stunden
Veraltet28. Feb. 25, 09:56 UTC20. Jan. 29, 13:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Donald Trump wins the presidency in 2024, will Joe Biden win in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden outlive Donald Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden outlive Hunter Biden?
Manifold MarketsWill Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiElon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?
Manifold MarketsWill the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if:
- Joe Biden is still alive when Donald Trump's current presidential term ends (normally January 20, 2029), or if Trump's presidency ends earlier for any reason (resignation, removal from office, death) and Biden is still alive at that time.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
- Joe Biden dies before Trump's presidency concludes.
- Market will continue in the event of a Trump presidency continuing beyond January 20th 2029, until one of the conditions are met.
