Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
PolitikMusicOne-OffUS PoliticsUnterhaltung2J
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 27%
Marktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
0,7 €
Liquidität
51.841,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
27.0% / 28.0%
Spread
3.7%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
26. Jan. 25, 15:0020. Jan. 29, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes27%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 73% | — | 0,7 € | 51.841,1 € | vor 17 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets90% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 90% | — | — | — | vor 17 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will the 25th Amendment be invoked as to transfer presidential authority from Trump?
2J
9.9%
90.1%
Community-Prognose46 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
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If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.