KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 75%
Marktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
122,6 €
Liquidität
60.125,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
26. Jan. 25, 15:00 UTC20. Jan. 29, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will President Trump be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?
Manifold MarketsWill Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029?
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PolymarketWill the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRegeln
If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The New York Times
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 75% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? entschieden?
- Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? soll am 20. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Manifold Markets gelistet.