Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 17:16 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 99%
Prognostiker
45
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert2. Juni 25, 00:05 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill Jesus Christ return before 2027
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KalshiWill the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM PT, there is an event widely and credibly recognized as the arrival or return of Jesus Christ — whether as the Second Coming (in Christian eschatology), the First Coming (in the view of certain religions or groups), or a new messianic appearance.
- Such recognition must be confirmed by a consensus of credible global news outlets and at least one major world government or international authority.
- The event must involve a public, global acknowledgment that the individual is Jesus Christ or a direct fulfillment of the prophetic messianic role as traditionally understood in Abrahamic religions.
- If no such confirmation exists by the stated time, the market will resolve to “No.”
