Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 21.0 GWh by Dec 2029?
RegulierungOne-Off3JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 66.1%
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet10. Feb. 26, 21:41 UTC31. Dez. 29, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 23.0 GWh by Mar 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 5.0 GWh by Dec 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 1.2 GWh by Dec 2026?
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if new iron-air battery capacity installed in the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds 21.0 GWh by 2029-12-31.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate total iron-air battery capacity that became operational during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2029-12-31 settlement: measure capacity installed from 2028-07-04 to 2029-10-02
- "Operational" means commissioned and capable of charging/discharging to the grid
Offene Märkte
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 248.725,9 €
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- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
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- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
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- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.1%
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- Gesamtvolumen
- 96.559,7 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 21.0 GWh by Dec 2029??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 66% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 21.0 GWh by Dec 2029? entschieden?
- Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 21.0 GWh by Dec 2029? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will iron-air battery additions (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 21.0 GWh by Dec 2029? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria