Will "International Law Cannot Prevent Extinction E..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
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Will "Only Law Can Prevent Extinction" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsU.S. gov/any American placed on trial in international court for violation of international law relating to war in Iran?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
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KalshiTexas Senate winner?
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As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post International Law Cannot Prevent Extinction Either is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
