Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 80%
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet8. Apr. 26, 18:51 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the website located at https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ is accessible and returns a standard HTTP 200 OK status code on December 31, 2026.
- If the website is inaccessible, redirects to a different domain, or returns an error status code (e.g., 404, 500) on that date, the market resolves to NO.
- This market concerns the continued operation of the specific web domain clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools.
- As of April 2026, little public information is available regarding the long-term hosting or organizational status of this specific URL.
- Traders should consider the typical volatility of experimental or niche web projects and the potential for domain expiration or service discontinuation over the remainder of the 2026 calendar year.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
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- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ still exist by EOY2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 80% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ still exist by EOY2026? entschieden?
- Will https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ still exist by EOY2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ still exist by EOY2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria