Will February the 28th prove to have been the biggest news day of 2026?
US-PolitikOne-OffKIGeopolitikNaher OstenLateinamerikaPolitik2MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 07:03 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 65.1%
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet8. März 26, 02:40 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by February 28th 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill the US Senate's Filibuster rule be in place as-is on February 20th, 2027?
Manifold MarketsMexico Grand Prix Main Race: Biggest Mover
KalshiCredible evidence of pre-arranged local support for Venezuela regime change (news media 2026)
Manifold MarketsWill Gaza be in the news in 2026 [Google trends]?
Manifold MarketsWill the fake news inquiry be closed in Brazil's Supreme Court by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegeln
On February the 28th, two things happened: Trump declared the start of strikes on Iran.
- And Open AI announced a contract with the DOW, replacing Anthropic.
- In my view, the combination makes 2/28/26 "the biggest news day of 2026", with the January 3rd capture of Maduro being a close second.
- I will personally judge this based on the significance of the event(s) in question.
- Most events occur over a number of days; but in order to resolve NO, candidate events must have a particular date of occurrence reported on in the major news media.
- As events occur, betters are encouraged to convince me of their significance.
