Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94%
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet28. März 24, 08:03 UTC29. März 61, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Elon Musk spend a month in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos spend a month in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos spend a week in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill the US exit the Outer Space Treaty?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.
- If Elon Musk spends 365 days consecutively above the Karmen Line (100 km altitude), then this market resolves YES.
- If he dies before this happens, this market resolves NO.
- For purposes of this market, “Elon Musk” is only Elon Reeve Musk, former chairman of Tesla, born on June 28, 1971.
- I will not bet in this market.
- Related markets: @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-day-in-outer @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-week-in-oute @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-month-in-out @/jks/will-elon-musk-spend-a-year-in-oute (this market)
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 802.561,8 €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 736.478,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 585.562,7 €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Elon Musk spend a year in outer space??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 94% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Elon Musk spend a year in outer space? entschieden?
- Will Elon Musk spend a year in outer space? soll am 29. März 2061 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Elon Musk spend a year in outer space? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.