Will frontier AI effective training compute increase by a factor 10 billion between 2025 and 2035?

Häufige Fragen

Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will frontier AI effective training compute increase by a factor 10 billion between 2025 and 2035??

Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 70.5% (Stand: 27. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Will frontier AI effective training compute increase by a factor 10 billion between 2025 and 2035? entschieden?

Will frontier AI effective training compute increase by a factor 10 billion between 2025 and 2035? soll am 1. Januar 2035 entschieden werden.

Wie wird Will frontier AI effective training compute increase by a factor 10 billion between 2025 and 2035? abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves as YES if the effective compute involved in the training of frontier AI models increases by a factor of a least 10 billion between January 1st 2025 and January 1st 2035.

Diesen Markt im Code oder in einem KI-Agenten nutzen

Kostenloses JSON zu diesem Markt, ohne API-Schlüssel:

KI-Agenten: pm_data_event über den MCP-Server von CoinRithm aufrufen:

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+11.0pt94%
• December 15,+8.5pt90%
• November 30,+30.5pt90%

+15 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

5,3 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

303.153 €

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt95.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt95%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+14.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+1.0pt54.5%
• Google36.4%
• OpenAI6.1%

+12 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime+19.0pt99.5%
• America First+64.0pt99.5%
• American Dream+65.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt29.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.6pt22.3%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.7pt17.5%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+2.8pt57.8%
• Gemini-0.8pt30.5%
• ChatGPT-0.1pt

• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Which company has the best AI model end of October?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Best AI this week
• In which month will Anthropic IPO?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?