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Daten vom 26.10.2026, 08:36 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Completes full term 80.3%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Completes full term 80.3%Prognostiker
160
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet13. Juni 25, 17:31 UTC21. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be revealed to have a major medical condition before the end of his second presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump’s second presidential term NOT end exactly on January 20, 2029, due to war, emergency, impeachment, or other
Manifold MarketsWill either Joe Biden or Donald Trump pass away while serving their second presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
PolymarketLula to finish his presidential term?
FutuurRegeln
the named outcome Trump remains President and alive through January 20, 2029, and peacefully transfers power on that date as required by the Constitution.
- Staying in office beyond January 20, 2029 for any reason will not count as completing a full term.
- the named outcome Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029 by resignation, impeachment, 25th Amendment process, legal action, incapacity, voluntary hand-over, exile, coup, or any other non-fatal removal, and remains alive.
- If Trump is still claiming presidential authority after Jan 20, 2029, thus not ‘completing’ his term, the market will resolve to this option.
- the named outcome
- Trump dies from disease, aging, or any internal medical cause while serving as President.
