Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Completes full term 78.8%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
160
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet13. Juni 25, 17:31 UTC21. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump become a de facto authoritarian ruler of the United States by the end of his presidential term by dism
Manifold MarketsWill either Joe Biden or Donald Trump pass away while serving their second presidential term?
Manifold MarketsJavier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina?
FutuurSantiago Peña to complete his presidential term in Paraguay?
FutuurDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiRegeln
the named outcome Trump remains President and alive through January 20, 2029, and peacefully transfers power on that date as required by the Constitution.
- Staying in office beyond January 20, 2029 for any reason will not count as completing a full term.
- the named outcome Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029 by resignation, impeachment, 25th Amendment process, legal action, incapacity, voluntary hand-over, exile, coup, or any other non-fatal removal, and remains alive.
- If Trump is still claiming presidential authority after Jan 20, 2029, thus not ‘completing’ his term, the market will resolve to this option.
- the named outcome
- Trump dies from disease, aging, or any internal medical cause while serving as President.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Completes full term mit 79% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)? entschieden?
- Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)? soll am 21. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: the named outcome Trump remains President and alive through January 20, 2029, and peacefully transfers power on that date as required by the Constitution.