Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 96.9%
Prognostiker
33
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet18. Dez. 25, 20:26 UTC31. Dez. 26, 20:25 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027?
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FutuurRegeln
Resolution criteria
- Donald Trump was sworn in as the 47th President of the United States on Monday, January 20, 2025.
- This market resolves YES if Trump remains president through December 31, 2026.
- It resolves NO if he is no longer serving as president by that date, including through resignation, removal via the 25th Amendment, impeachment and conviction, or any other means of losing the office.
- Resolution will be determined by checking the official White House website (whitehouse.gov) or major news sources confirming the sitting president on December 31, 2026.
- Trump previously served as the 45th President from 2017 to 2021, making him the second President in American history to serve two nonconsecutive terms.
Offene Märkte
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
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+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026? entschieden?
- Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria