Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 86.1%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 34 Minuten
20. Dez. 25, 02:10 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a person who is not Joe Biden or Donald Trump become the de facto president of the United States before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?
KalshiWill Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump is serving as President of the United States on December 31, 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by checking official sources such as the White House website or news reports confirming Trump's status as sitting president on that date.
- The market resolves NO if Trump is not president on that date, including scenarios where he has resigned, been removed from office, or lost an election.
- If Trump dies in office, the market resolves NO.
- Donald Trump was sworn in as the 47th President of the United States on Monday, January 20, 2025, and is the second President in American history to serve two nonconsecutive terms.
