Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 83.1%
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19
Fragetyp
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
1. Okt. 26, 14:56 UTC1. Nov. 26, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the first major multimodal DeepSeek release be video oriented and suited for robot control?
Manifold MarketsWill DeepSeek v5 release before 2028
Manifold MarketsV4.1+ Pro (DeepSeek) release date
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific, DeepSeek publicly releases DeepSeek-V4.1-Pro, or any higher Pro/flagship tier that replaces it (e.g. V4.2-Pro, V5, V5-Pro).
- What counts as released: anyone can use it without an invitation, through DeepSeek's API, its official chat app/website, or as publicly downloadable open weights.
- An open public preview or beta counts, the way the "DeepSeek-V4 Preview" (April 24) would have.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, anonymous arena appearances and leaks do not count.
- What does NOT count: Flash, Lite, Mini, vision-experimental or distilled models.
- DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash came out on Sept 10, 2026 and does not count, and neither does any later Flash-tier model.