Will "Claude Sonnet 3.7 (often) knows when it’s in ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

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Will "Claude Sonnet 3.7 (often) knows when it’s in ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? soll am 1. Februar 2027 entschieden werden.

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Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202796.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202795%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt93%

+9 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

3,7 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

107.694 €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+1.4pt95%
• December 15,+1.5pt93%
• November 30,-1.5pt88%

+15 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt32%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.8pt22.3%
• $1.5–$1.75T16.5%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+0.1pt59%
• Gemini-0.7pt30.1%
• ChatGPT+1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+7.5pt98%
• Anthropic-6.6pt2%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

• <$1T-5.9pt25%
• $1.25T–$1.5T-0.3pt19.8%
• $1.5T–$1.75T-3.3pt16.7%

+5 weitere Ergebnisse

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)
• Best AI in Oct 2026?