Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 58.7%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet3. Apr. 23, 02:34 UTC1. Jan. 40, 15:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the NASA Mars Sample Return Mission be cancelled?
Manifold MarketsBefore which year will a Venus Sample Return Mission be successfully completed?
Manifold MarketsWho will launch the first crewed Mars flyby mission, USA or China?
Manifold MarketsWill China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWhat will be the next country to send a manned flight to the moon
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves when either party has Martian soil/rock samples in their possession on Earth.
- Resolves NA if either party completes a human Mars mission.
- June 2024 update: clarifying that if Europe is not involved this question can still resolve NO if the US alone is successful.
