Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 95.1%
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet6. Aug. 23, 22:52 UTC31. Dez. 30, 16:01 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
Manifold MarketsBy when will the first non-traditional launch of an orbital payload happen?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
KalshiAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketRegeln
China here meaning either the state or a Chinese company.
- The first stage should have been already used in a previous launch to Earth orbit (or beyond) before.
Offene Märkte
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.050,2 €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 38.741,3 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 356.323,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13.462,8 €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 11.045,3 €
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- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030? entschieden?
- Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: China here meaning either the state or a Chinese company.