Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose2027 14.1%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Prognostiker
12
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet21. März 24, 04:56 UTC29. März 43, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the United Kingdom complete their Sutherland spaceport and launch an orbital rocket from it before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich African country will be the first to launch an orbital rocket in the 21st century?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)
Manifold MarketsBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegeln
Space Shuttle Failure Rate
- The Space Shuttle program had a failure rate of approximately 1.5%.
- Here's the breakdown:
- * Total Missions: 135
- * Catastrophic Failures: 2 (Challenger and Columbia)
- * Failure Rate: ~1.5%
