Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 92%
Prognostiker
45
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
3. Okt. 23, 23:35 UTC2. Jan. 30, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China successfully complete a Mars Sample Return mission before the USA and Europe do?
Manifold MarketsBefore which year will a Venus Sample Return Mission be successfully completed?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX get funding from Trump’s NASA for a Mars mission?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketRegeln
Ending this market in 2030, as the latest IRB report estimates this as the launch date.
- https://spacenews.com/nasa-mars-sample-return-budget-and-schedule-unrealistic-independent-review-concludes/
- [link preview]Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:
- If the mission is NASA-led and has a primary purpose of retrieving samples, it is considered MSR.
- Missions where the primary purpose is not sample return (e.g., humans landing on Mars) do not count as MSR.
- Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications: