Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 65.4%
Prognostiker
12
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet5. Juni 26, 00:15 UTC29. Feb. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the first woman to walk on the Moon be a Chinese national?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Moon land people on the moon before Starship HLS ?
Manifold MarketsWill India land people on the moon by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill over 200 people be on the moon at any given time before a baby if born on the moon
Manifold MarketsWill Starlink launch their own phone before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the next country to send a manned flight to the moon
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Will China fly taikonauts in cislunar space before Chinese New Year 2028?
- As long as they are withing the sphere of influence it counts.
- https://spacepolicyonline.com/news/isaacman-chinese-taikonauts-likely-to-fly-around-moon-in-2027/
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if China launches a crewed spacecraft carrying at least one human astronaut (taikonaut) that successfully enters cislunar space or the Moon's gravitational sphere of influence (including lunar flybys, circumlunar trajectories, lunar orbit, or landing) before Chinese New Year 2028
- While China's officially declared objective is to land taikonauts on the lunar surface by 2030, observers and aerospace officials have suggested precursor missions are planned.
