Will China become more authoritarian in 2026?
Middle EastOne-OffRussia / UkraineChinaLatin America6MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 59.1%
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Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet11. Apr. 26, 16:54 UTC31. März 27, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if China's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report.
- If the report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.
- If China's democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.
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Offene Märkte
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+2 weitere Ergebnisse
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+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will China become more authoritarian in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 59% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will China become more authoritarian in 2026? entschieden?
- Will China become more authoritarian in 2026? soll am 31. März 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will China become more authoritarian in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if China's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report.