Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 64.3%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 36 Minuten
26. Juli 26, 19:59 UTC31. Dez. 45, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will power transmission from orbit to surface be first demonstrated?
Manifold MarketsWill there be more than 1GW of in-space solar power generation by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that Canada has at least 1 gigawatt (GW) of operational space-to-ground power-transmission capacity before January 1st 2046.
- “Space-to-ground power transmission” means systems that generate or collect energy in space and wirelessly transmit it to receiving infrastructure located in Canada, where it is converted into usable electrical power.
- Eligible technologies may include microwave, laser, or other wireless power-transmission methods.
- The 1 GW threshold refers to aggregate nameplate electrical-output capacity deliverable at the Canadian receiving stations after conversion from the transmitted signal.
- Multiple systems may be added together, provided they are operational and capable of supplying power concurrently.
- Experimental demonstrations, announced projects, facilities under construction, and systems that have not entered operation do not count.