Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 81.1%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet25. Juli 26, 20:13 UTC31. Dez. 35, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Bryan Johnson dunk before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson dunk in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson get cockatoo by 2035
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
PolymarketWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?
PolymarketWomen's Pro Basketball: Any Player to Dunk this Season
KalshiRegeln
https://x.com/i/status/2081071661466689637
- "i’m training to dunk a basketball
- the odds don’t look good
- standing reach 91”
- needed reach: 130”
- that’s a 39” vertical
Offene Märkte
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 182.343,6 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Bryan Johnson dunk a basketball before 2036??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 81% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Bryan Johnson dunk a basketball before 2036? entschieden?
- Will Bryan Johnson dunk a basketball before 2036? soll am 31. Dezember 2035 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Bryan Johnson dunk a basketball before 2036? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: https://x.com/i/status/2081071661466689637