Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 96.3%
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 30 Minuten
3. Juni 26, 17:32 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Manifold MarketsWill The California Billionaire Wealth Tax pass if it is on the ballot in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Prop 40: Billionaire Tax pass in California in 2026?
ForecastExWill major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Kalshi8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsRegeln
https://x.com/i/status/2061631422188626083
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the American A.I. Sovereign Wealth Fund Act (or substantially similar legislation introduced by Senator Bernie Sanders that imposes a 50% or greater equity/stock tax or mandates a 50% or greater public ownership stake in major AI companies) is signed into law or otherwise enacted.
- If no such legislation is still under consideration at the end of 2026, this market will resolve NO at that time.
- Otherwise the market resolution will be extended.
- Enactment will be verified using official U.S. government legislative tracking resources, such as Congress.gov.
