Aktuelle Community-Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet9. Juni 24, 22:56 UTC1. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will run for public office in 2026?
KalshiWill Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
PolymarketWill Hasan Piker announce a run for public office?
KalshiWill James Fishback announce a run for public office?
Kalshiwill Jimmy Kimmel run for any public office before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRegeln
This question will resolve yes if at least 1 Manifest 2024 attendee is elected to a government position by the end of 2026.
- It will resolve no otherwise.
Offene Märkte
ElectionsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 187,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 514.851,2 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt52%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt46%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff-0.4pt15%
- Gavin Newsom-0.3pt12%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.8pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt28.1%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 610,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt78%
- New People (NL)+1.5pt18%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Michigan Senate Election Winner
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 89% (Stand: 14. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier? entschieden?
- Will any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This question will resolve yes if at least 1 Manifest 2024 attendee is elected to a government position by the end of 2026.