KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine Handelsaktivität
Daten vom 14.09.2026, 20:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2027 0%
Marktqualitat
24 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntGeld / Brief
20.0% / 30.0%
Spread
10.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
10. Sept. 26, 02:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Is James fishback a stunt?
Manifold MarketsWho will run for public office in 2026?
KalshiWill Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
PolymarketWill Hasan Piker announce a run for public office?
Kalshiwill Jimmy Kimmel run for any public office before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If James Fishback announces after Issuance that they will run for any government office in ANY YEAR the named outcome, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:James FishbackThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
- The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-4.0pt72.3%
- Yes+4.0pt27.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 753.920,4 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt48.5%
- D-House, R-Senate35%
- R-House, R-Senate-2.0pt14.6%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+19.0pt63%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+14.0pt54%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+16.0pt52%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt51.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva46.5%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.5pt36.1%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.8%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will James Fishback announce a run for public office??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 1, 2027 mit 0% (Stand: 14. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will James Fishback announce a run for public office? entschieden?
- Will James Fishback announce a run for public office? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will James Fishback announce a run for public office? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If James Fishback announces after Issuance that they will run for any government office in ANY YEAR the named outcome, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.