Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 99%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet29. März 26, 21:11 UTC30. Dez. 26, 20:10 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will James Fishback announce a run for public office?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketCalifornia Governor winner? (Person)
KalshiRegeln
Resolves Yes if before end of 2026 it is revealed James fishback did the campaign to see how stupid /anti semitic/racist conservatives are.
- If he announced it was a stunt to see which conservatives would support him.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-5.0pt70.3%
- Yes+5.0pt29.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 758.978,5 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt48.1%
- D-House, R-Senate34.6%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt15.4%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff-0.3pt16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt13%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change60.8%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt36.3%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt64%
- October 31+2.0pt37%
- September 3017%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBlanchet vs Harris
- Ugo Blanchet55.5%
- Billy Harris44.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 378.807,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 263.270,4 €
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Is James fishback a stunt??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 14. September 2026).
- Wann wird Is James fishback a stunt? entschieden?
- Is James fishback a stunt? soll am 30. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Is James fishback a stunt? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves Yes if before end of 2026 it is revealed James fishback did the campaign to see how stupid /anti semitic/racist conservatives are.