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Daten vom 30.10.2026, 02:48 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Jake Paul · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Jake Paul 1.9%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Jake Paul 1.9%Marktqualitat
43 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
683,1 €
Open Interest
41.763 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Jake PaulSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet18. Nov. 25, 22:00 UTC3. Nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Jake Paul
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
PolymarketWill James Fishback announce a run for public office?
KalshiWill Hasan Piker announce a run for public office?
Kalshiwill Jimmy Kimmel run for any public office before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Kyle Rittenhouse run for public office before the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Greta Thunberg run for public office before the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Jake Paul has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCpersonBloomberg NewsNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Jake Paul
- If Jake Paul has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Joe Kent
- If Joe Kent has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nicki Minaj
- If Nicki Minaj has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mark Cuban
- If Mark Cuban has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Casey DeSantis
- If Casey DeSantis has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Danica Patrick
- If Danica Patrick has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Glenn Youngkin
- If Glenn Youngkin has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Matt Gaetz
- If Matt Gaetz has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Paul Finebaum
- If Paul Finebaum has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Matthew McConaughey
- If Matthew McConaughey has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.