Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94.9%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet31. Okt. 23, 22:24 UTC1. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump run for a third term?
KalshiWill Donald Trump win the 2028 presidential election and be sworn in for a third term?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will the next Secretary General of the United Nations be from, following Antonio Guterres?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)
Manifold MarketsAntónio Guterres out by December 31?
PolymarketKathy Hochul to finish her term as governor of New York?
FutuurRegeln
António Guterres is the current General-Secretary of the United Nations (UN).
- The General-Secretary is selected for five-year terms, with the next selection to take place in 2026.
- To become General-Secretary, a candidate must be nominated by a UN member state, recommended by the UN Security Council (receiving 9 out of 15 votes and no vetoes by the permament members), and voted in by a majority in the UN General Assembly.
- Guterres was selected as General-Secretary in 2016 after six straw polls on the UN Security Council.
- Guterres was nominated again in 2021 and was the only official candidate, being recommended unanimously by the UN Security Council and acclaimed by the UN General Assembly.
- Will Guterres be selected to serve a third term as UN General-Secretary?
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 691.801,4 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,6 Mio. €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Antonio Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Antonio Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary? entschieden?
- Will Antonio Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Antonio Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: António Guterres is the current General-Secretary of the United Nations (UN).