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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet5. Aug. 26, 15:00 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2027
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KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC, Anthropic officially releases or deploys an in-house, custom-designed silicon chip (developed by Anthropic's internal silicon/hardware team) to train or run its Claude AI models.
- "Release or deploy" is defined as any of the following:
- Anthropic publicly announces that it is actively using its proprietary, custom-designed chips for training or running Claude in production.
- Anthropic or its manufacturing partner officially announces the successful tape-out, shipping, or deployment of the custom silicon designed by Anthropic's in-house team.
- Exceptions & Clarifications:
Offene Märkte
AI
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 224.720,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 160.486,9 €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
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- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 344.925,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
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- 1480+-7.5pt63%
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- 1500+-1.0pt28%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2028?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 55% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2028 entschieden?
- Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2028 soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2028 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria