Will an American walk on the Moon during Trump's second term?
PolitikOne-OffRaumfahrtUS-PolitikChina2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 70%
Prognostiker
25
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet20. Juni 25, 03:25 UTC20. Jan. 29, 11:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if an American astronaut walks on the Moon between January 20, 2025, and January 20, 2029.
- Verification will be based on official NASA announcements and reputable news sources.
- NASA's Artemis program aims to return humans to the Moon.
- Artemis III, the mission intended to achieve this, has faced multiple delays.
- As of December 2024, NASA announced a postponement of Artemis III to mid-2027 due to technical challenges, including heat shield issues on the Orion capsule.
