Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Kanye West 100%Führend unter 125 Optionen
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet21. Jan. 25, 16:40 UTC31. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump do the Roman / Nazi Salute by the end of his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsWhat Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsWill prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most positively impactful term in the last 68 years?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached in his second term?
FutuurRegeln
Only salutes on or after January 21st 2025 count.
- I will resolve according to my judgment, based on credible video or photo/eyewitness evidence.
- Think of a "clear and convincing" but not necessarily "beyond a reasonable doubt" standard of evidence.
- For reference, Elon Musk's Nazi salute on January 20th would have counted and not been close.
- Salutes before inauguration day 2029 will count even if the named outcome is no longer acting as president.
- Update 2025-21-01 (PST): - The scope is global; salutes from any country are considered.
Offene Märkte
Politics
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will do an apparent Nazi salute during Trump's second term? (add answers)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Kanye West mit 100% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will do an apparent Nazi salute during Trump's second term? (add answers) entschieden?
- Who will do an apparent Nazi salute during Trump's second term? (add answers) soll am 31. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will do an apparent Nazi salute during Trump's second term? (add answers) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Only salutes on or after January 21st 2025 count.