Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?
One-OffKIWissenschaft1J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 20:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 92.1%
Prognostiker
100
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet1. Apr. 23, 02:29 UTC2. Jan. 28, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Monkey get perfect score on Putnam exam by 2060?
Manifold MarketsPutnam Top 100 #4: Will any AI score in the top 100 Putnam scorers by start of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
The William Lowell Putnam Mathematical Competition, known as the Putnam exam, is a prestigious annual mathematics competition for undergraduate students in the United States and Canada.
- The exam consists of 12 challenging mathematical problems, with participants given 6 hours to complete the exam.
- A perfect score on the Putnam exam is rare, even among top students, and would be a significant achievement for an AI system, showcasing its advanced mathematical problem-solving capabilities.
- Will clear and strong evidence be provided that an AI is capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam under real-world conditions before January 1st, 2028?
- Resolution Criteria:
- This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1st, 2028, clear and strong evidence is provided that an AI system is capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam, adhering to the following conditions:
