Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94.2%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet1. März 26, 00:54 UTC1. März 46, 00:53 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
PolymarketWill Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
PolymarketWill Turkey become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Turkey acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States conducts a military offensive in which combatants are sent to forcefully enter Turkish territory between March 1, 2026 and March 1, 2046 and intentionally kill over 10 Turkish soldiers.
- Resolution requires documented evidence of U.S. military forces engaging in hostile operations on Turkish soil with the intent to occupy territory or effect political/military objectives.
- Routine military exercises, training operations, or peacekeeping missions do not qualify.
- The resolution will be determined by credible news sources, official U.S. government statements, and international reporting.
- This description was generated by AI.
