Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 91.1%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
8734,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
8.0% / 9.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
1
7d-Änderung
+1.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
1. Apr. 26, 20:04 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
PolymarketWill Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?
Manifold MarketsNew F-35 sold to Turkey by EOY2028?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
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PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution.
- Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
- Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held.
- An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
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- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- 24h-Volumen
- 891.331 €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
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- Susan Collins32.7%
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
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- 25,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 384.309 €
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? entschieden?
- Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.