Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 85%
Prognostiker
49
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Stunden
Veraltet25. Feb. 25, 04:34 UTC2. März 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?
Manifold MarketsThe current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the FDP receive more than 5% of the vote in the next German federal election (regularly in 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWho replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketNext leader out of power before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to YES if the AfD wins the most seats in the next German federal election (expected in 2029).
- This market will resolve to NO if any other party wins more seats than the AfD in the next German federal election.
- If there is a tie for the most seats between the AfD and another party, this market will resolve to YES.
- The resolution will be based on the official election results as reported by the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) of German
