Will a woman walk on Mars before a woman is president of the United States?
One-OffPolitikRaumfahrtUS-PolitikWahl
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 77.9%
Prognostiker
82
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 47 Minuten
Verzogert16. März 24, 18:06 UTC21. Jan. 49, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill the first person to walk on Mars be a woman?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the first woman president of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill the first woman president of the United States be a Republican?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?
KalshiRegeln
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.
- For purposes of this market, "woman" is someone who identifies as a woman at the time of the respective event.
- If an astronaut or politician walked on Mars or became President of the United States as a man and then identified as transgender after leaving Mars or the Presidency, respectively, then that would not satisfy the criteria (unless they were to return to Mars or regain the presidency).
- I will not bet in this market.
- Related market: @/jks/will-a-woman-walk-on-the-moon-befor
