Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?
PolitikOne-OffRaumfahrtUS-PolitikWahl6J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 68.2%
Prognostiker
99
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert18. März 24, 15:37 UTC21. Jan. 33, 06:59 UTC
Trends
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The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.
- For purposes of this market, "woman" is someone who identifies as a woman at the time of the respective event.
- If an astronaut or politician walked on the moon or became President of the United States as a man and then identified as transgender after leaving the moon or the Presidency, respectively, then that would not satisfy the criteria (unless they were to return to the moon or regain the presidency).
- I will not bet in this market.
- @/jks/will-a-woman-walk-on-mars-before-a
